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Kansas City Chiefs 2022 NFL betting preview: Picks, predictions, futures bets

Post Action Betting will release an overview of gambling for all 32 NFL team teams ahead of the 2022 NFL season. National Football LeagueThis article will cover the schedule, predictions for each team, win total, win total, picks (over/under), and prop betting. Today we will be covering the Kansas City Chiefs.

Kansas City Chiefs (+1000) to win Super Bowl FanDuel)

2021 record: 12-5, 1st AFC West

The Kansas City Chiefs looked set to become the next dynasty following the New England Patriots’ footsteps when Patrick Mahomes came on the scene in 2018.

Yet, while the Chiefs have had success, it doesn’t nearly match what we’ve seen with the Patriots when they were at their peak. Kansas City deserves credit for reaching AFC title game in each year of their four-year history. However, the Chiefs only have one Super Bowl to show their efforts.

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Although there’s no question the Chiefs raised the bar, I think it’s fair to say the teams around the league have done well to narrow the gap. Kansas City could face their biggest challenge this season as they’ll be without one of the most dynamic players in the league in Tyreek Hill.

We’ll highlight any other critical changes to the roster as we create a roadmap on how to attack them in the futures market.

Chiefs offseason moves

  • Notable departures are Tyreek Hill (85.1 PMF grade), LB Melvin Ingram III (79.7 PFF degree), CB Mike Hughes (79.6PFF grade), S Tyrann Mathieu (67.3 PFF grades), RB Darrel William (67.2 PFF grades), Byron Pringle (66.5), and Charvarius Wade (65.7 PFF grades). 
  • Marquez Valdesscantling (66.1 PFF Grade) and JuJuSmith-Schuster (59.2 PFF Grade) will replace the outgoing wide receivers. Justin Reid (50.9PFF Grade) will fill in big at safety.
  • Washington cornerback Trent McDuffie was drafted (21st choice), Purdue edge rusher George Karlaftis (30th pick), Western Michigan receiver Skyy Moore (54) and Cincinnati S Bryan Cook (62) respectively. Wisconsin linebacker Leo Chenal (103rd) Fayetville State’s CB Joshua Williams (135th), Kentucky OL Darian Kinnard (155) and Washington State CB Jalen (243rd). RutgersRB Isiah Johnson (251stpick) is Marshall safety Nazeeh Johnson (251), Marshall safety Nazeeh (251) and Marshall safety Nazeeh (251)

Schedule 2022 Kansas City Chiefs

Week 1: Cardinals

Week 2: vs. Chargers

Week 3: Colts

Week 4: At Buccaneers

Week 5: vs. Raiders

Week 6: vs. Bills

Week 7: 49ers

Week 8: Bye

Week 9: vs. Titans

Week 10: vs. Jaguars

Week 11: Chargers

Week 12: vs. Rams

Week 13: at Bengals

Week 14: at Broncos

Week 15: At Texans

Week 16: vs. Seahawks

Week 17: vs. Broncos

Week 18: Raiders

NFL betting lines: Chiefs win in total

O/U 10.5 wins

Andy Reid, Chiefs coach does as well as anyone in setting up his teams for this regular season. According to our Action Labs database, since becoming Kansas City’s head coach in 2013, the Chiefs have the best record (27-9) over the season’s first four games.

I think the reason for his success is that he’s not shy about playing his star players during the preseason. The Chiefs have a lot at stake for this upcoming campaign, given that they’ll be without four of their top six pass catchers from last season.

Patrick Mahomes.
Patrick Mahomes calling play during a preseason match.
Getty Images

Mahomes and his receiving team had to establish a good chemistry. Mahomes appeared in the first two preseason matches and looks good for the midseason.

While I know the AFC West is loaded, if there’s one team that deserves the benefit of the doubt to still go over their win total, I think it has to be the Chiefs. There should be a lot of close games decided in the fourth quarter between AFC West teams this year and Kansas City has something the other three don’t: Mahomes. 

It’s worth noting that In the Mahomes-Reid era, the Chiefs have yet to finish with fewer than 12 wins in the regular season. I expect this trend to continue into 2022. 

The Pick

Lean over 10.5 wins (-115 BetMGM).

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Travis Kelce – (O/U 1024.5 Regular Season Receiving Yards, BetMGM)

One can only imagine how many Kelce will get now with the diminutive wide receiver to Miami after receiving 25 more targets than Tyreek Hill (159).

Over the six seasons, Kelce averaged 134 targets and finished each season with at least 1,036 receiving yard. Furthermore, he’s averaging 15.75 games per season over his eight-year career, so he’s been incredibly durable. 

Travis Kelce.
Travis Kelce during a preseason match against the Bears.
Getty Images

The former Cincinnati product, who stands six-foot-five and weighs in at 250 lbs, is an athlete with peak athletic conditioning. Kelce is fast enough to avoid being tackled, unlike Rob Gronkowski, who is a formidable tight end.

Like Cooper Kupp and the Rams, a defense can know who’s getting the football sometimes, and still can’t stop it. Thus, I don’t see any reason we should expect Kelce’s production to decline in 2022.

This spot is my favorite. I love taking the over for his receiving yards.

The Pick

Over 1024.5 regular-season receiving yards (-115 fanDuel).

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